Dynasty owners are always looking for more information about more players. In addition to the projection model preview articles about NFL prospects, this list will function as a metric-driven guide for the names-to-know in the coming years at each position.
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- The overall projection score listed below mixes together the information gathered to-date. For some players, this is substantial, for others just the basics.
- Athletic drill measurements and times are gathered from sources like Sparq, online resources, or player profiles.
- A general guide: The upcoming class will have the most accurate information available compared to Y+1, etc.
- The proprietary formula for developmental players is the same as current and former incoming NFL rookies.
- See an error? Let me know on twitter @ChadParsonsNFL
The projection model functions around a 0% axis for major categories like Size, Athleticism, Production, etc. A player above-average will have a positive score, like +15%, while a below-average metric prospect will have a negative score, like -15%.
While all the granular data points will be shown for declared NFL Draft prospects, the devy metrics below will show the following:
Projected NFL Draft class year. I use my best judgment to project when a player will come out. The college year for a prospect is listed next to their class year.
A low scored prospect, or one with minimal playing time or production, will be assumed to stay through their senior season until their metrics improve.
A small school prospect will always be assumed to stay through their senior season.
The scores below represent how they currently rank (by the date at the top of the table) among all prospects at their position since 1999 by the projection model. 50% being the mid-point with 100% the best and 0% the worst.
Each draft class year has the prospects grouped by their college year to easily show the upcoming ‘Senior’ class, assured of coming out, for example and the viable underclassmen in the mix.
The draft class data will shift over time as the prospect profiles are refined with new information.
Before the NFL Draft process begins, the most noticeable adjustments to prospects scores will be on Production front. Players without Production will be minimal (or zero) for incoming recruits and continually adjust as their opportunities grow. As sample size grows for players as does their metric profile accuracy for NFL and fantasy projections.
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