Another aspect of the projection model is the ability to slice and dice the scope of a prospect’s career. One interesting player from the 2015 wide receiver class is Ty Montgomery.
One Big Year
Ty Montgomery had a big 20-year-old season in 2013 and proceeded to return to Stanford for his senior season. Admirable, but turning his nose up at bolting for the NFL on a high note was a metric crime.
Instead of exiting with a final season of 40+ market share (after two invisible seasons mind you), Ty Montgomery floundered to a 20 market share at 21 years old. Yikes.